Report Forecasts Weak Decade for Business Jets

Business Jet Traveler » February 2009
Sunday, February 1, 2009 - 4:00am

Brian Foley Associates has completed its 10-year Business Aviation Market Brief & 10-year Jet Forecast and the news isn't good. "Virtually any start-up air taxi, charter or fractional program will be extremely challenged by the current economic environment," according to the Sparta, N.J. firm. "In our view, a sizeable number of these entities will disappear or indefinitely defer orders, greatly complicating the lives of OEMs with exposure to this segment in the form of unsold product. The manufacturers also risk order deferrals, even from the sound, established fractional providers who can postpone deliveries."

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““CEOs go to their vacation homes just after companies report favorable news, and CEOs return to headquarters right before subsequent news is released. More good news is released when CEOs are back at work, and CEOs appear not to leave headquarters at all if a firm has adverse news to disclose. When CEOs are away from the office, stock prices behave quietly with sharply lower volatility. Volatility increases immediately when CEOs return to work.” —David Yermack, a New York University finance professor, whose recently released study shows a correlation between when CEOs take their private jets on vacation and movements in their companies’ stock price ”

-David Yermack